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black box paradox diagram, data algorithm output arrows

Why is it so hard to predict stock prices?

ImageFebruary 4, 2021 Michael BrockFor ProfessionalsLeave a comment1

We investigated these questions using methods that originate from the job, in aerospace engineering (secret clearance). Our primary tools are digital signal processing and Fourier methods. No statistics.Read More

spy gain potential for each trading day from ohlc analytics graph blue dots

We cannot do anything about the markets…

ImageFebruary 4, 2021 Michael BrockFor ProfessionalsLeave a comment1

On the main page of this web site, we show a Fourier transform of the Dow Jones Average for a 56 year period.Read More

purple graph real response vs date sp line, wave graph

“The Herd” vs “The Science”

ImageFebruary 4, 2021 Michael BrockFor ProfessionalsLeave a comment1

The predictive implications are extremely interesting, but for a public web site discussion, we will simply say that Clive W Granger explicitly discussed quasi-periodic behavior in 1968.Read More

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  • Why is it so hard to predict stock prices?Why is it so hard to predict stock prices? February 4, 2021
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